Where the 3.5 Percent Figure Comes From
Payscale 2026 Compensation Best Practices Report
Payscale's annual survey of over 3,000 HR and compensation professionals found that 3.5 percent was the median planned merit increase for 2026 among US organizations, down slightly from 3.8 percent in 2025. The report found that merit increases remained the most prevalent form of base salary adjustment at 87 percent of organizations surveyed.
Mercer 2025/2026 Compensation Planning Survey
Mercer's compensation planning survey of over 1,000 large US organizations found planned salary budgets for 2026 averaging 3.4 to 3.6 percent, consistent with Payscale's findings. Technology, financial services, and healthcare were the sectors budgeting above the overall average.
WorldatWork Salary Budget Survey
WorldatWork's annual salary budget survey reported similar findings, with the median planned base salary increase budget for 2026 at 3.5 percent. The survey also found that 73 percent of organizations planned promotional increases as a separate mechanism from merit increases, averaging an additional 8 to 12 percent upon promotion.
Average Salary Increases by Industry in 2026
Technology and software
3.8 to 4.5 percent is the average merit budget range for technology and software organizations in 2026. Engineering, data science, and machine learning roles are at the high end of this range, reflecting continued competition for specialized technical talent.
Financial services
3.5 to 4.0 percent is typical for financial services, with investment banking, private equity, and quantitative roles consistently at the upper end. Regulatory compliance and risk management roles have seen above-average budget increases in 2026 reflecting regulatory complexity.
Healthcare and life sciences
3.3 to 3.8 percent is the typical range, with clinical and specialized scientific roles at the higher end. Organizations in high-demand nursing and allied health markets are running targeted above-average increases for specific job families rather than across-the-board elevated budgets.
Professional services and consulting
3.0 to 3.5 percent is typical for professional services firms. Firms with strong client demand and high utilization rates are at the higher end of this range.
Nonprofit and government
2.5 to 3.0 percent is the typical budget range for nonprofit organizations and government entities, constrained by funding structures and board approval processes that limit flexibility to respond to market movement.
Why the Average Does Not Tell You What Budget to Set
The compa-ratio problem with flat percentages
If 40 percent of your workforce is paid below 85 percent of their band midpoint, applying a flat 3.5 percent merit budget will not move most of them into a competitive pay position. It will keep them below midpoint, widen the gap between their pay and the market, and create continued flight risk for your highest performers who have the most external options.
High performers below midpoint need more than average
A high performer paid at 79 percent of their band midpoint needs a significantly larger increase than 3.5 percent to reach a competitive pay position within a reasonable number of cycles. Applying the industry average to this employee is a retention decision disguised as a compensation decision.
What a merit matrix does that a flat increase cannot
A merit matrix connects performance rating to compa-ratio to produce differentiated increase recommendations. An employee with an Exceeds Expectations rating and a compa-ratio of 82 percent might receive a 6.0 to 7.5 percent increase. A peer with the same rating and a compa-ratio of 105 percent might receive 2.0 to 3.5 percent. The matrix distributes budget to where it does the most retention and equity work.
How to Use the 2026 Average When Presenting to Your Board or CFO
Leading with market context
The industry average provides external context for your budget request. Framing your proposed merit budget as in line with or above market average gives a CFO or board the external validation they typically require before approving payroll spend.
Framing the budget as retention spend, not cost
The most effective CFO presentations frame merit spend in terms of the cost of turnover it prevents. If a Senior Engineer costs $180,000 to replace in recruiting fees, onboarding time, and lost productivity, and your merit investment to retain them is $6,500, the ROI of the merit spend is explicit and does not require the CFO to take it on faith.
What to Expect for 2027: Early Indicators
Early compensation planning surveys for 2027 suggest merit budgets will continue to moderate toward the 3.0 to 3.5 percent range as labor market conditions normalize from the post-pandemic tightness. Organizations in artificial intelligence, data infrastructure, and cybersecurity are expected to maintain above-average budgets for specialized technical roles regardless of broader market moderation.
Plan Your 2026 Merit Budget With Live Market Data, Not Industry Averages  The 3.5 percent average is a starting point, not a budget. CompBldr connects your organization's compa-ratio distribution and salary band positioning to a merit matrix that tells you exactly what budget you need to move your people toward market competitiveness without overspending. Book a 15-Minute Demo


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